Pre-tourney Rankings
Loyola Maryland
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.3#135
Expected Predictive Rating+5.9#88
Pace64.6#246
Improvement+1.8#90

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#152
Improvement+0.6#136

Defense
Total Defense+1.8#124
Improvement+1.2#112
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 14.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round8.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.2% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 15 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 195   @ Wake Forest L 63-75 53%     0 - 1 -10.4 -15.0 +5.7
  Nov 14, 2011 277   Coppin St. W 78-68 88%     1 - 1 -0.3 -6.7 +6.3
  Nov 17, 2011 340   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 73-63 92%     2 - 1 -3.1 -9.8 +6.2
  Nov 20, 2011 295   @ New Hampshire W 66-60 76%     3 - 1 +1.1 +1.0 +0.7
  Nov 27, 2011 178   Florida Gulf Coast W 77-74 73%     4 - 1 -1.1 +0.4 -1.5
  Dec 01, 2011 258   Marist W 76-63 86%     5 - 1 1 - 0 +3.9 -4.1 +7.4
  Dec 03, 2011 233   @ Siena W 66-59 61%     6 - 1 2 - 0 +6.5 -1.4 +8.3
  Dec 07, 2011 167   @ George Washington W 65-55 46%     7 - 1 +13.3 -0.4 +14.5
  Dec 10, 2011 298   @ Mount St. Mary's W 65-54 76%     8 - 1 +5.8 +2.9 +4.9
  Dec 18, 2011 57   @ St. Bonaventure L 66-76 19%     8 - 2 +1.5 -1.6 +3.0
  Dec 22, 2011 1   @ Kentucky L 63-87 3%     8 - 3 +0.3 +4.4 -5.3
  Dec 28, 2011 106   @ Bucknell W 72-67 30%     9 - 3 +12.8 +8.9 +4.4
  Jan 02, 2012 244   Niagara L 61-66 84%     9 - 4 2 - 1 -13.2 -16.8 +3.5
  Jan 05, 2012 127   Manhattan W 61-60 62%     10 - 4 3 - 1 +0.2 -7.4 +7.7
  Jan 07, 2012 328   Canisius W 77-62 95%     11 - 4 4 - 1 -1.2 -2.0 +1.2
  Jan 13, 2012 120   @ Fairfield W 66-63 34%     12 - 4 5 - 1 +9.7 +4.3 +5.5
  Jan 15, 2012 48   @ Iona L 63-74 18%     12 - 5 5 - 2 +1.0 -9.3 +10.4
  Jan 19, 2012 233   Siena W 66-55 82%     13 - 5 6 - 2 +3.7 -5.0 +9.4
  Jan 22, 2012 315   St. Peter's W 65-54 94%     14 - 5 7 - 2 -3.9 +2.1 -3.7
  Jan 27, 2012 244   @ Niagara W 69-57 64%     15 - 5 8 - 2 +10.6 +0.4 +11.5
  Jan 29, 2012 328   @ Canisius W 70-52 86%     16 - 5 9 - 2 +8.6 +3.4 +8.1
  Feb 03, 2012 221   Rider W 63-46 80%     17 - 5 10 - 2 +10.4 -11.0 +22.6
  Feb 05, 2012 315   @ St. Peter's W 66-55 84%     18 - 5 11 - 2 +2.9 +0.5 +3.7
  Feb 10, 2012 48   Iona W 87-81 39%     19 - 5 12 - 2 +11.2 +2.2 +8.4
  Feb 12, 2012 120   Fairfield L 51-68 60%     19 - 6 12 - 3 -17.1 -13.5 -5.4
  Feb 15, 2012 258   @ Marist L 54-72 67%     19 - 7 12 - 4 -20.3 -16.5 -4.8
  Feb 19, 2012 191   Boston University W 69-56 76%     20 - 7 +8.0 -0.4 +9.2
  Feb 24, 2012 221   @ Rider L 79-83 58%     20 - 8 12 - 5 -3.8 +4.9 -8.8
  Feb 26, 2012 127   @ Manhattan W 62-60 36%     21 - 8 13 - 5 +8.1 -2.4 +10.6
  Mar 03, 2012 244   Niagara W 86-73 75%     22 - 8 +8.2 +15.0 -5.8
  Mar 04, 2012 233   Siena W 70-60 73%     23 - 8 +6.1 +3.4 +3.7
  Mar 05, 2012 120   Fairfield W 48-44 46%     24 - 8 +7.3 -11.7 +19.7
Projected Record 24.0 - 8.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 14.8 0.3 17.5 80.8 1.5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14.8 0.3 17.5 80.8 1.5